Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE 2 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 1

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Aiolikos		Iraklis

	1	X	2
	7.25	3.5	1.44
	6.5	3.75	1.5
	6.69	3.85	1.45
	7.8	3.55	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.06 ↑ (5.17)	3.66 ↑ (3.4)	1.46 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aiolikos
12.9%

Draw
24.8%

Iraklis
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

27.8%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

26.8%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aiolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aiolikos's form might have worsened.

Iraklis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Iraklis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aiolikos than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iraklis than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Iraklis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aiolikos - Iraklis Predictions

Users Predictions: Iraklis will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Kushta K. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, N'Nomo U. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Super League 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Super League 2 (Relegation Group: )).

Aiolikos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Iraklis is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Iraklis is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aiolikos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Aiolikos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aiolikos FC
Greek Super League 2
11.03.24	Iraklis - Aiolikos	3:0 ✺
04.03.24	Aiolikos - AEK B	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Kampaniakos - Aiolikos	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Aiolikos - Apollon Pontou	3:1 ✺
14.02.24	Niki Volos - Aiolikos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Iraklis Thessalonikis
Greek Super League 2
11.03.24	Iraklis - Aiolikos	3:0 ✺
04.03.24	Kozani - Iraklis	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	AEK B - Iraklis	0:0 ✺
19.02.24	Iraklis - Kampaniakos	2:2 ✺
14.02.24	Apollon Pontou - Iraklis	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
11.03.24	Iraklis - Aiolikos	3:0
10.12.23	Aiolikos - Iraklis	1:1

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