Match Info

NB II. - Round 4

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday


	Ajka		Budapest Honved

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.6	1.66
	4.05	3.4	1.75
	3.85	3.43	1.86
	1.56	3.35	7.29	Watch
	4.16	3.64	1.82
	3.2	3.7	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.31)	3.52 ↓ (3.65)	2.72 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajka
30.6%

Draw
30.3%

Budapest Honved
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

24.9%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

24.5%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Budapest Honved has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Budapest Honved might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Budapest Honved than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Budapest Honved could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ajka - Budapest Honved Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Honved (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Budapest Honved will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Budapest Honved will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Honved (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Szabados I. (G) 10. Cipf D. 19. Csizmadia Z. 30. Doncsecz L. 99. Garai Z. 7. Herjeczki K. 14. Kovacs N. 44. Meszaros B. 26. Rideg B. 34. Tar Z. 20. Toth G.	83. Tujvel T. (G) 44. Baki A. 5. Csontos D. 11. Hangya S. 72. Kallai K. 23. Medgyes Z. 17. Pinte P. 32. Somogyi A. 4. Szabo A. 40. Szamosi A. 7. Zuigeber A.
Substitutes
3. Balazs A. 13. Csanadi B. 24. Csornyei Z. 31. Horvath D. (G) 25. Jagodics B. 63. Katona I. 5. Kenderes Z. 6. Kirchner K. 11. Kopacsi A. 77. Lakatos M. 38. Lichy K. 2. Zalan G.	15. Csonka B. 1. Duzs G. (G) 20. Foldi D. 9. Ihrig-Farkas S. 19. Kesztyus B. 75. Kovacs E. 95. Racz G. (G) 8. Siger A. 74. Simon B. 88. Szabo A. 77. Varga B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Rideg B. 🟨,
25', Rideg B. ↓, Kirchner K. ↑,
26', Cipf D. ↓, Katona I. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Kirchner K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Meszaros B. 🟨,
64', Doncsecz L. ↓, Kenderes Z. ↑,
66', Szabo A. 🟨,
68', Meszaros B. 🟥,
68', Csontos D. 🟨,
71', Kallai K. 🟨,
73', Szamosi A. ↓, Simon B. ↑,
73', Pinte P. ↓, Ihrig-Farkas S. ↑,
80', Szabados I. 🟨,
82', Kirchner K. ↓, Lakatos M. ↑,
83', Kallai K. ↓, Kesztyus B. ↑,
83', Zuigeber A. ↓, Csonka B. ↑,
83', Somogyi A. ↓, Szabo A. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajka won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Honved is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ajka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
10.08.25	Budafoki - Ajka	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Ajka - Videoton	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	BVSC-Zugló - Ajka	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Ajka - Szombathelyi Haladas	2:2 ✺
09.07.25	Ajka - Veszprém	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLTT
- Budapest Honved FC
Hungarian NB II
10.08.25	Szentlőrinc - Budapest Honved	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Budapest Honved - Budafoki	3:0 ✺
28.07.25	Videoton - Budapest Honved	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Komárno - Budapest Honved	3:0 ✺
03.07.25	Budapest Honved - Maccabi Haifa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
02.03.25	Ajka - Budapest Honved	2:0
18.08.24	Budapest Honved - Ajka	1:2
12.05.24	Ajka - Budapest Honved	0:2
12.11.23	Budapest Honved - Ajka	1:0
Club Friendly
01.07.23	Budapest Honved - Ajka	3:0
22.07.20	Ajka - Budapest Honved	2:2

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