Match Info

Date: 3 March 2021, Wednesday


	Ajka		Debreceni

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.7
	4.2	3.55	1.62
	4.5	3.75	1.61
	4.98	4.04	1.67
	4.6	3.98	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (3.48)	3.8 ↑ (3.5)	1.64 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajka
20.6%

Draw
24%

Debreceni
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

26.6%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

17.5%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajka's form might have worsened.

Debreceni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Debreceni's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (-24.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Debreceni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ajka - Debreceni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion to OTP Bank Liga).

Ajka is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Debreceni is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Debreceni could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Debreceni is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ajka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
28.02.21	Budaörsi SC - Ajka	2:7 ✺
21.02.21	Ajka - Szombathelyi Haladas	1:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
10.02.21	Ajka - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB II
07.02.21	Ajka - Csákvári	2:2 ✺
31.01.21	Békéscsaba 1912 - Ajka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLTW
- Debreceni VSC
Hungarian NB II
28.02.21	Debreceni - Vasas	1:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
24.02.21	Debreceni - Siofok	2:1 ET ✺
Hungarian NB II
21.02.21	Szeged 2011 - Debreceni	0:5 ✺
15.02.21	Debreceni - Gyirmót	0:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
10.02.21	Debreceni EAC - Debreceni	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
13.09.20	Debreceni - Ajka	5:3
Hungarian Cup
26.02.19	Debreceni - Ajka	1:1
19.02.19	Ajka - Debreceni	2:3

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