Match Info

NB II. - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Ajka		Karcag

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.25	3.1
	2.06	3.38	3.26
	2.82	2.09	4.14	Watch
	2.24	3.15	2.99
	2.33	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.33)	3.01 ↓ (3.18)	3.26 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajka
40.4%

Draw
30.9%

Karcag
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Karcag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karcag than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Ajka - Karcag Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Szabados I. (G) 29. Bacsa B. S. 10. Cipf D. 19. Csizmadia Z. 71. Csoka Dom. 99. Garai Z. 6. Kirchner K. 14. Kovacs N. 8. Mohos B. 18. Sejben V. 34. Tar Z.	87. Engedi M. (G) 19. Girsik A. 5. Gyori A. Z. 26. Hidi P. 97. Kohut M. 4. Kovalovszki M. 77. Laszlo D. 99. Pap Z. 7. Szekely D. 24. Szekszardi T. 92. Szucs K.
Substitutes
. Bogdan H. 24. Csornyei Z. 30. Doncsecz L. 7. Herjeczki K. 31. Horvath D. (G) 63. Katona I. 5. Kenderes Z. 77. Lakatos M. 38. Lichy K. 44. Meszaros B. 9. Szabo M. 20. Toth G.	17. Bodor Z. 21. Fabian B. 23. Fazekas L. 71. Fedinisinec E. (G) 51. Gergely R. (G) 22. Gyorgye M. 6. Hornyak C. 18. Kaye S. 96. Sain Balasz C. 9. Szakacs L. 10. Tarcsi R. 8. Vida M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Csoka Dom. ↓, Katona I. ↑,
52', Cipf D. 🟨,
57', Cipf D. ↓, Toth G. ↑,
57', Sejben V. ↓, Doncsecz L. ↑,
57', Kirchner K. ↓, Szabo M. ↑,
67', Kohut M. ↓, Sain Balasz C. ↑,
67', Laszlo D. ↓, Kaye S. ↑,
67', Hidi P. ↓, Gyorgye M. ↑,
68', Mohos B. ↓, Herjeczki K. ↑,
79', Szabo M. 🟨,
84', 0 - 1, Girsik A. ⚽,
86', Tarcsi R. 🟨,
90', Girsik A. ↓, Fazekas L. ↑,
90+1', Szucs K. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 7).

Ajka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Karcag is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Karcag has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
28.09.25	Békéscsaba 1912 - Ajka	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Ajka - Kecskemeti	1:3 ✺
Hungarian Cup
13.09.25	Ajka - Kisvárda	3:1 ✺
Hungarian NB II
31.08.25	Csákvári - Ajka	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Szentlőrinc - Ajka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWLL
- Karcagi SE
Hungarian NB II
29.09.25	Budapest Honved - Karcag	5:2 ✺
21.09.25	Budafoki - Karcag	0:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
13.09.25	Rákospalotai EAC - Karcag	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Kazincbarcikai - Karcag	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB II
31.08.25	Karcag - Videoton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTWWW

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