Match Info

HUNGARY: MERKANTIL BANK LIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 9 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Ajka Sportcentrum (Ajka)


	Ajka		MTK Budapest

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.6	1.4
	5.2	4.4	1.48
	5.8	4.7	1.38
	5.14	4.4	1.42
	5.75	4.75	1.4
	5.8	4.8	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↑ (3.94)	4.61 ↑ (3.58)	1.42 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajka
16.4%

Draw
19.7%

MTK Budapest
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

25.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

24.3%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajka's form might have worsened.

MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MTK Budapest's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MTK Budapest, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Ajka - MTK Budapest Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ajka will win (votes: 2 - 20%). MTK will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MTK: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3).

Ajka is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches MTK is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match MTK is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ajka won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
06.11.22	Gyirmót - Ajka	1:3 ✺
30.10.22	Ajka - Kazincbarcikai	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Pecsi - Ajka	1:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
19.10.22	Ajka - Ujpest	1:3 ✺
Hungarian NB II
16.10.22	Ajka - Szeged 2011	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLLL
- MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB II
06.11.22	MTK Budapest - Tiszakécske	4:1 ✺
30.10.22	Soroksár - MTK Budapest	2:5 ✺
22.10.22	MTK Budapest - Siofok	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Szombathelyi Haladas - MTK Budapest	3:2 ✺
09.10.22	MTK Budapest - Győri ETO	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
23.02.20	Ajka - MTK Budapest	2:0
28.08.19	MTK Budapest - Ajka	4:4
Hungarian Cup
05.12.18	Ajka - MTK Budapest	2:1
Club Friendly
05.02.13	MTK Budapest - Ajka	4:0

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