Match Info

HUNGARY: MERKANTIL BANK LIGA - ROUND 5

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday


	Ajka		Pecsi

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.1	2.95	3.25
	2.01	3.25	3.74
	2.05	3.18	3.66	Watch
	2.03	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.6)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	3.52 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajka
44.6%

Draw
29.5%

Pecsi
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28.7%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

29.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajka's performance.

Pecsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pecsi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pecsi than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pecsi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ajka - Pecsi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Horvath D. (G) 74. Bence B. 13. Csemer G. 19. Csizmadia Z. 30. Doncsecz L. 25. Jagodics B. 5. Kenderes Z. 18. Sejben V. 27. Szarka A. 20. Toth G. 9. Zsolnai R.	13. Helesfay D. (G) 22. Bukovics A. 18. Gyurkits G. 10. Harsanyi I. 30. Hudak M. 26. Krausz R. 16. Majnovics M. 5. Pejovic D. 3. Racz L. 29. Shvedyuk O. 21. Terbe B.
Substitutes
71. Antal G. 8. Berzsenyi K. 7. Borsos F. 14. Gaal B. 17. Gorgenyi D. 15. Gyuris A. 11. Presinger A. 6. Rabatin R. 97. Szabados I. (G) 29. Szucs K. 34. Tar Z. 10. Vogyicska B.	77. Bachesz E. 20. Gera Z. 7. Szabo M. 88. Szeles T. 14. Takacs Z. 11. Toth-Gabor K. 81. Varasdi D. (G) 19. Varga B.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajka won 3.

Recent matches Ajka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pe'csi is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ajka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
16.08.23	Mosonmagyaróvár - Ajka	0:2 ✺
13.08.23	Ajka - Szeged 2011	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Budafoki - Ajka	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Ajka - Soroksár	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Kecskemeti - Ajka	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTL
- Pecsi MFC
Hungarian NB II
16.08.23	Pecsi - Vasas	0:0 ✺
13.08.23	Kazincbarcikai - Pecsi	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Siofok - Pecsi	0:1 ✺
30.07.23	Pecsi - Mosonmagyaróvár	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.23	Pecsi - Majosi	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
16.04.23	Ajka - Pecsi	1:0
22.10.22	Pecsi - Ajka	1:0
20.02.22	Ajka - Pecsi	1:0
22.08.21	Pecsi - Ajka	2:0
28.04.21	Pecsi - Ajka	0:1
08.11.20	Ajka - Pecsi	0:3

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