The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Akhisar Belediyespor 13.7%
Draw 22.4%
Adanaspor 63.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
27.8%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
19.4%
47.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhisar Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akhisar Belediyespor's form might have worsened.
Adanaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adanaspor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhisar Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akhisar Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adanaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.3%
4.6%
88.1%
Akhisar Belediyespor - Adanaspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
151 users predict this event. Akhisar Belediyespor will win (votes: 11 - 7.3%). Adanaspor will win (votes: 133 - 88.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 4.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Adanaspor: 82.9% – 93.3%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).
Akhisar Belediyespor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Adanaspor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Adanaspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Akhisar Belediyespor have a series of guest games.
In this match Adanaspor is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Akhisar Belediyespor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Akhisar Belediyespor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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