Match Info

Youth League - Round 23

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Akhmat Grozny U19		Ural U19

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.95	3.74
	2.05	3.45	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.01)	3.7 ↑ (3.58)	3.52 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akhmat Grozny U19
48.5%

Draw
25.1%

Ural U19
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

25.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

22.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akhmat Grozny U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Ural U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny U19 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akhmat Grozny U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural U19 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ural U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Akhmat Grozny U19 - Ural U19 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Akhmat U19 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Youth League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat U19 won 0.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Akhmat U19 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Akhmat U19 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akhmat Grozny U19
Russian Youth League
12.09.25	Zenit Petersburg U19 - Akhmat Grozny U19	3:0 ✺
29.08.25	Akhmat Grozny U19 - Sochi U19	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Akhmat Grozny U19	5:1 ✺
15.08.25	Akhmat Grozny U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Rubin Kazan U19 - Akhmat Grozny U19	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTLLW
- Ural U19
Russian Youth League
12.09.25	Ural U19 - Krasnodar U19	2:5 ✺
29.08.25	Spartak Moscow U19 - Ural U19	4:1 ✺
22.08.25	Baltika U19 - Ural U19	0:3 ✺
15.08.25	Ural U19 - Zenit Petersburg U19	1:6 ✺
09.08.25	Sochi U19 - Ural U19	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
02.05.25	Ural U19 - Akhmat Grozny U19	5:1
21.06.24	Ural U19 - Akhmat Grozny U19	1:1
15.03.24	Akhmat Grozny U19 - Ural U19	1:3
28.07.23	Ural U19 - Akhmat Grozny U19	1:0
06.05.22	Ural U19 - Akhmat Grozny U19	2:1
01.04.22	Akhmat Grozny U19 - Ural U19	0:4
08.11.19	Akhmat Grozny U19 - Ural U19	3:0

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