Match Info

Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 24

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Akra IL		Stabæk 2

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.40	1.60
	3.95	4.30	1.55
	3.77	4.38	1.62
	4.84	5	1.46	Watch
	3.70	4.30	1.60
	4.02	4.33	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (5.1)	4.45 ↓ (5)	1.57 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akra IL
22.5%

Draw
20.2%

Stabæk 2
57.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.9%

18.3%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

17.6%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akra IL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Stabæk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stabæk 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akra IL than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akra IL that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk 2 than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stabæk 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Akra IL - Stabæk 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Weltzien S. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Ferrington R. ⚽,
15', 1 - 2, Bachke C. ⚽,
28', 2 - 2, Simonsen J. ⚽,
40', 3 - 2, Simonsen J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 4 - 2, Adland H. ⚽,
66', 4 - 3, Ferrington R. ⚽,
71', 5 - 3, Weltzien S. ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 9th).

Akra is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Stabæk 2 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Stabæk 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Stabæk 2 for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Akra has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Stabaek 2	25	10	4	11	53:56	-3	34
14	Akra	25	5	3	17	33:77	-44	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akra IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
12.10.26	Haugesund 2 - Akra IL	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Akra IL - Mandalskameratene	0:4 ✺
26.09.26	Akra IL - Madla	0:6 ✺
19.09.26	Hinna - Akra IL	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Akra IL - Odd 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL
- Stabæk 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
11.10.26	Mandalskameratene - Stabæk 2	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Stabæk 2 - Haugesund 2	4:1 ✺
27.09.26	Stabæk 2 - Flekkerøy	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Odd 2 - Stabæk 2	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Stabæk 2 - Vindbjart	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
19.04.26	Stabæk 2 - Akra IL	4:1

Akra IL - Stabæk 2