Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 33

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Aksaray Belediyespor		Aliaga

	1	X	2
	6.7	4.15	1.35
	6.64	4.21	1.43	Watch
	7.5	4.2	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.95 ↑ (6.71)	4.19 (4.19)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aksaray Belediyespor
13%

Draw
21.6%

Aliaga
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

22%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

21.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aksaray Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aksaray Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Aksaray Belediyespor - Aliaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Aksaray Belediyespor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aliaga is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Aliaga is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aksaray Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Aksaray Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Aliaga - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.33%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
12.04.26	Somaspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Aksaray Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Mardin 1969 - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Aksaray Belediyespor - Fethiyespor	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Guzide Gebzespor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLL
- Aliaga FK
Turkish Second League Red Group
12.04.26	Aliaga - Menemenspor	5:0 ✺
04.04.26	Kırklarelispor - Aliaga	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Aliaga - Isparta 32 Spor	1:5 ✺
25.03.26	Adanaspor - Aliaga	1:8 ✺
14.03.26	Aliaga - Arnavutköy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
16.12.25	Aliaga - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1

Aksaray Belediyespor - Aliaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide