Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Aksaray Belediyespor		Mardin 1969

	1	X	2
	2.42	3	2.68
	2.52	3.01	2.8
	2.70	2.84	2.75	Watch
	2.47	2.96	2.7
	2.45	3	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.93)	2.96 ↓ (3.25)	2.73 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aksaray Belediyespor
36.1%

Draw
30.6%

Mardin 1969
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

26.9%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aksaray Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aksaray Belediyespor's performance.

Mardin 1969 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mardin 1969 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aksaray Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aksaray Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mardin 1969 than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mardin 1969 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aksaray Belediyespor - Mardin 1969 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Balat B. ⚽, Altintas M. M. (A),
45+2', 0 - 2, Yesil M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 3, Balat B. (Pen),

Preview

Aksaray Belediyespor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mardin is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
09.11.25	Fethiyespor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Guzide Gebzespor	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Muş Spor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLLW
- Mardin 1969 SK
Turkish Second League Red Group
09.11.25	Mardin 1969 - Menemenspor	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Kırklarelispor - Mardin 1969	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Mardin 1969 - Isparta 32 Spor	4:0 ✺
12.10.25	Mardin 1969 - Arnavutköy	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Mardin 1969	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWW

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