Match Info

NPFL - Round 37

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Godswill Akpabio International Stadium (Uyo)

Referee: Akanji I. (Nga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Akwa United		Bayelsa United

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.1	8.4
	1.32	4.22	9.11
	1.36	4.1	9.31
	1.42	3.79	8.94
	1.35	4.1	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.51)	4.06 ↑ (3.25)	8.83 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akwa United
67.2%

Draw
22.5%

Bayelsa United
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

27.8%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

27.6%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akwa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akwa United's performance.

Bayelsa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akwa United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akwa United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayelsa United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Akwa United - Bayelsa United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Efala J. (G) 29. Ebedebiri E. 27. Essien U. 25. Etim C. 2. Ini E. 8. Kabir O. 3. Ndon W. 12. Oguntayo S. 15. Olayemi Ogunleye J. 5. Orji C. 6. Williams U.	35. Clinton A. E. (G) 7. Abdullahi R. 23. Auwal S. 5. Biriduba G. (C) 4. Loveday S. 20. Malik K. 26. Ogba I. 29. Ogundare A. 12. Oladimeji H. 19. Tombiri B. 13. Wisdom M.
Substitutes
14. Abson M. 13. Adamu U. 34. Akala O. 11. Akande I. 23. Etienne A. 24. James E. 1. Otuyiga H. 21. Philip D. 28. Tochukwu S.	28. Biweribo T. 24. Clark F. 10. Daniel S. 27. Emo J. 39. Fred D. 36. Ihunwo K. 33. Ofem E. 37. Ojobo M. 21. Olisa E.
Coaches
Boboye K.	Bosso L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Ebedebiri E. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 🟨,
67', Auwal S. ↓, Clark F. ↑,
70', Olayemi Ogunleye J. ↓, James E. ↑,
78', Essien U. ↓, Abson M. ↑,
88', Ini E. ↓, Akande I. ↑,
88', Oguntayo S. ↓, Tochukwu S. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Kabir O. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Akwa United is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Akwa United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Akwa United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akwa United
Nigerian Premier League
07.05.25	Bendel Insurance - Akwa United	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Akwa United - Ikorodu City	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Plateau United - Akwa United	1:0 ✺
Nigerian Federation Cup
16.04.25	Akwa United - Inter Lagos	1:0 ✺
Nigerian Premier League
13.04.25	Akwa United - El-Kanemi Warriors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWT
- Bayelsa United
Nigerian Premier League
07.05.25	Ikorodu City - Bayelsa United	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Bayelsa United - El-Kanemi Warriors	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Niger Tornadoes - Bayelsa United	1:1 ✺
Nigerian Federation Cup
16.04.25	Nasarawa United - Bayelsa United	2:1 penalties ✺
Nigerian Premier League
11.04.25	Bayelsa United - Shooting Stars	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
15.12.24	Bayelsa United - Akwa United	2:1
25.02.24	Akwa United - Bayelsa United	0:1
30.09.23	Bayelsa United - Akwa United	5:3

Akwa United - Bayelsa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide