Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Al-Ahli Amman		Al-Baqaa

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.4	2.88
	2.21	3.29	3
	2.17	3.65	2.98	Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.9
	2.13	3.38	2.98	Watch
	2.38	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.38)	3.33 ↑ (3)	2.9 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahli Amman
41.4%

Draw
27.3%

Al-Baqaa
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.5%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahli Amman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Al-Baqaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Amman than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Baqaa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Al Ahli Amman - Al Baqaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Assam K. ⚽,
69', 1 - 1, Alkass A. A. (Penalty Awarded),
70', 2 - 1, Hassan M. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Al-Ahli Amman have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Baqaa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Amman won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli Amman won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Al Buqaa	3	1	1	1	1:4	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahli SC Amman
Jordan Premier League
24.04.26	Al-Ahli Amman - Al Faisaly Amman	2:2 ✺
14.04.26	Sama Al Sarhan - Al-Ahli Amman	2:3 ✺
08.04.26	Al-Ahli Amman - Al-Hussein Irbid	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Al-Ramtha - Al-Ahli Amman	1:1 ✺
16.03.26	Shabab Al-Ordon - Al-Ahli Amman	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWLTW
- Al-Baqaa
Jordan Premier League
26.04.26	Al-Baqaa - Al-Salt	1:3 ✺
16.04.26	Al-Jazeera - Al-Baqaa	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Al-Baqaa - Al-Wehdat	1:5 ✺
03.04.26	Al-Baqaa - Shabab Al-Ordon	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Al Faisaly Amman - Al-Baqaa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Jordan Premier League
25.01.26	Al-Baqaa - Al-Ahli Amman	0:0
Jordan Shield Cup
07.09.25	Al-Ahli Amman - Al-Baqaa	0:1
Jordan Premier League
07.08.25	Al-Ahli Amman - Al-Baqaa	2:3

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