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Current Win Probability
Al-Ahli Doha 53.8%
Draw 23.7%
Al-Sailiya 22.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.3%
20.2%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.9%
15.4%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Doha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ahli Doha's form might have worsened.
Al-Sailiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ahli Doha that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sailiya than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Al Ahli Doha - Al Sailiya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Lingliz M. (G) 41. Reyed A. 8. Ali T. 16. Tihi R. 88. Amraoui A. 33. Fettouhi D. (C) 77. Mohammed I. 27. Bourigeaud B. 7. Draxler J. 23. Sliti N. 10. Exposito E.
1. Burke B. (G) 6. Al Bustamy M. 4. Majed I. 15. Nani M. 2. Mahmoud A. (C) 25. Danzabe R. 8. Moein Doozandeh A. 9. Olwan A. 5. Mohamed A. 10. Taabouni M. 21. El Ghazi A.
Substitutes
70. Abdelrahman Y. 53. Ahmed S. (G) 15. Al-Ishaq Y. 75. Babiker N. 18. Jassem Mohammed 6. Luiz Ceara 20. Mansour H. 49. Sassi Z. 5. Troost-Ekong W.
19. Al Bakri A. 71. Al Battat M. 31. Al Bustami M. (G) 99. Al Sufiani S. 20. Belhanda Y. 7. Eissa M. 18. Hussain A. 77. Jaad M. 13. Joselu 50. Sayed Y. M. (G) 22. Sudarmanto A. 55. van der Kaap K.
Coaches
Jimenez B.
Al Zein M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Sliti N. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Draxler J. ⚽, Sliti N. (A),
39', 3 - 0, Sliti N. ⚽,
44', Al Bustamy M. ↓, Belhanda Y. ↑,
44', Danzabe R. ↓, Al Battat M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 4 - 0, Bourigeaud B. ⚽, Draxler J. (A),
59', Nani M. ↓, Joselu ↑,
59', Taabouni M. ↓, Al Sufiani S. ↑,
72', Sliti N. ↓, Abdelrahman Y. ↑,
77', Mohammed I. ↓, Troost-Ekong W. ↑,
83', 5 - 0, Majed I. (Own goal),
84', Reyed A. ↓, Jassem Mohammed ↑,
84', Fettouhi D. ↓, Luiz Ceara ↑,
84', Bourigeaud B. ↓, Mansour H. ↑,
89', El Ghazi A. ↓, Eissa M. ↑,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 12th in the Relegation - QSL 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 2.
In recent outings, Al-Ahli Doha has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Al-Sailiya has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Al-Ahli Doha carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ahli Doha has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:30 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Ahli Doha against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 12:14 goals (averaging 1.2:1.4 per game).
Qatar
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Lingliz M. (G) 
Tihi R. 
Amraoui A. 
Bourigeaud B. 
Draxler J. 
Sliti N. 
Exposito E. 
Burke B. (G) 
Mahmoud A. (C) 
Danzabe R. 
Olwan A. 
Taabouni M. 
Troost-Ekong W. 
Al Battat M. 
Eissa M. 
Jaad M. 
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