The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Ahli Manama 15.5%
Draw 19.7%
Busaiteen 64.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.9%
27.3%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
26.6%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Manama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ahli Manama's form might have worsened.
Busaiteen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+35%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Busaiteen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Manama than the current prediction. (+28.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ahli Manama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busaiteen than the current prediction. (-35.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Busaiteen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
0%
72.7%
Al Ahli Manama - Busaiteen Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Busaiteen will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Busaiteen: 46.4% โ 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Ahli won 3.
Recent matches Al-Ahli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Busaiteen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Busaiteen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Al-Ahli have a series of guest games.
Busaiteen will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Al-Ahli won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Al-Ahli won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.
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