The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al Ahly Cairo 71.1%
Draw 19.9%
El Gouna 9.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.3%
20.2%
10.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.3%
19.1%
9.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
11.1%
11.1%
Al Ahly Cairo - El Gouna Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). El Gouna will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 50.6% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. El Shenawy M. (C) 30. Hany M. 6. Ibrahim Y. 2. Marei Y. 22. Ashour E. 20. Belammari Y. 23. Dieng A. 13. Attia M. 17. Bencharki A. 5. Ben Romdhane M. 9. Ieltsin Camoes
23. Alaa M. (G) 2. Taalab A. 5. El Shimi S. 4. Abdel Rasoul Ahmed 18. Jatta A. 14. El Sayed N. (C) 7. Refaat A. 22. El Nahas M. 6. Ibrahim H. 24. El Zahdi A. 8. Salah R.
Substitutes
24. Eid A. 14. El Shahat H. 28. Fouad K. 36. Kouka A. 27. Otaka M. 4. Ramadan A. 21. Reyad H. 10. Sherif M. 31. Shobeir O. (G)
20. Eid A. 13. El Gazar O. 30. Imad M. 90. Karim A. 10. Mahmoud M. 28. Metawea M. 29. Ojo T. 16. Shahin H. (G) 36. Turay A.
Coaches
Thorup J.
Bebo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Attia M. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Ashour E. ⚽, Bencharki A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Ben Romdhane M. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
57', Ieltsin Camoes ↓, Otaka M. ↑,
57', Salah R. ↓, Ojo T. ↑,
57', Refaat A. ↓, El Gazar O. ↑,
74', El Zahdi A. ↓, Imad M. ↑,
77', Taalab A. 🟨,
87', Dieng A. ↓, Kouka A. ↑,
87', Taalab A. ↓, Eid A. ↑,
87', Ibrahim H. ↓, Karim A. ↑,
90', Bencharki A. ↓, Fouad K. ↑,
90+6', Ibrahim Y. 🟨,
90+6', Imad M. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
El Gouna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Al Ahly is the obvious favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:11. (average 1.9:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:6. (average 2:0.5).
Egypt
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El Shenawy M. (C) 
Belammari Y. 
Dieng A. 
Ben Romdhane M. 
Ieltsin Camoes 
Jatta A. 
Ibrahim H. 
Ojo T. 
Turay A. 
Thorup J. 
