The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 49.5%
Draw 25.8%
Al Jubail 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
27.4%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
23.8%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Arabi Al-Saudi's performance.
Al Jubail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Arabi Al-Saudi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Jubail than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Jubail could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al Arabi Al Saudi - Al Jubail Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
37. Al Mutairi R. (G) 70. Daqarshawi A. 14. Faqihi S. (C) 66. Freij H. 12. Al Jaadi T. 17. Abed A. 8. Udo S. 7. Al Sufyani M. 6. Al Haribi A. 26. Al Zaqan A. 20. Ciss A.
21. Bouamer A. (G) 22. Al Oudah O. 50. Al Nakhli H. 23. Dias R. 3. Chaouali W. 7. Al Mahmoudi M. 76. Fajr F. (C) 28. Lahlali Z. 47. Al Salama O. 12. Al Khaldi N. 9. Eissa I. K.
Substitutes
18. Ahoudo G. 32. Al Bishi B. 16. Albuhassan M. 13. Al Ghamdi A. (G) 19. Al Juhani F. 99. Al Mayad A. 24. Frimpong E. 21. Panom G.
38. Al Anazi S. 94. Al Bahar S. 11. Al Jubaya A. 17. Al Omari A. 14. Fallatah O. 77. Hazazi N. 58. Marhabi Y. 4. Qaisi T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Al Oudah O. ⚽, Fajr F. (A),
29', Abed A. 🟨,
33', Al Haribi A. 🟨,
36', Freij H. 🟨,
39', Freij H. ↓, Al Mayad A. ↑,
43', 0 - 2, Eissa I. K. ⚽, Al Oudah O. (A),
45+5', 1 - 2, Al Mayad A. ⚽, Al Jaadi T. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Al Salama O. ↓, Hazazi N. ↑,
58', 1 - 3, Hazazi N. ⚽,
61', 2 - 3, Al Mayad A. ⚽, Ciss A. (A),
64', Ciss A. ↓, Albuhassan M. ↑,
65', Al Haribi A. ↓, Panom G. ↑,
75', Al Khaldi N. ↓, Al Omari A. ↑,
75', Eissa I. K. ↓, Al Jubaya A. ↑,
81', 3 - 3, Panom G. ⚽,
83', 4 - 3, Panom G. ⚽, Al Sufyani M. (A),
86', Al Mahmoudi M. ↓, Fallatah O. ↑,
90+6', Al Zaqan A. ↓, Al Bishi B. ↑,
90+7', Al Oudah O. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Al-Arabi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al Jubail is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Al-Arabi is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
Including home match between the teams, Al-Arabi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.