Match Info

ASIA: AFC CUP - ROUND 2

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Location: Sabah Al Salem Stadium (Kuwait)


	Al-Arabi Doha		Nejmeh

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.5	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.53	4.27
	1.7	3.7	4.2
	1.77	3.62	4.33
	1.8	3.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.26)	3.54 ↑ (3.23)	4.11 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Arabi Doha
51.9%

Draw
25.8%

Nejmeh
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

29.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Arabi Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Arabi Doha's performance.

Nejmeh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nejmeh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Doha than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Arabi Doha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nejmeh than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nejmeh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Al Arabi Doha - Nejmeh Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Al-Arabi will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Nejmeh will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Arabi: 73.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Dashti A. (G) 5. Aboud J. 13. Bouchar S. 2. Hamdan H. 27. Ali I. (C) 7. Tareq Ali B. 4. Sabbar W. 20. Hamid N. 17. Khalaf A. 23. Khabba H. 93. Thiam M.	1. Al Sabaa A. (G) 77. Awada S. 8. Khoury L. 18. El Zein K. (C) 13. Moghrabi A. 20. Kourani H. 10. Al Zain M. 21. Costa G. 26. Bilonog D. 70. Sadek M. 7. Bader K.
Substitutes
11. Al Hashan S. 12. Al Mutairi B. 16. Al Rasoul A. 10. Al Salama B. 3. Ammar Abdullah 77. Iwuala A. 30. Majed Al Shammari Y. 33. Salem N. 31. Shehab A. A. R. (G)	22. Bechara M. 90. Embalo J. 19. Hamam A. 2. Ismail A. 4. Mansour A. 11. Markabawi M. 9. Mhana H. 6. Najdi B. 15. Popalzay O. 24. Sabra M. 16. Safwan M. H. 25. Zahr M. (G)

Preview

Recent matches Al-Arabi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nejmeh is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Nejmeh have a series of guest games.

Al-Arabi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Arabi Doha SC
Qatar QSL
28.09.23	Al-Arabi Doha - Qatar SC	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Al-Rayyan - Al-Arabi Doha	1:0 ✺
AFC Cup
18.09.23	Al-Zawraa - Al-Arabi Doha	1:2 ✺
Qatar QFA Cup
14.09.23	Qatar SC - Al-Arabi Doha	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
09.09.23	Al-Arabi Doha - Muaither	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLW
- Nejmeh SC
Lebanese Premier League
28.09.23	Racing Beirut - Nejmeh	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Shabab Al-Ghazieh - Nejmeh	0:4 ✺
AFC Cup
18.09.23	Nejmeh - Al-Riffa	0:2 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
27.08.23	Bourj - Nejmeh	1:3 ✺
19.08.23	Tadamon Sour - Nejmeh	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLWW

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