Match Info

Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1, Dubai Sports 2
World	FIFA+


	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain		Al Dhafra

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.83
	3.85	4.4	1.64
	4.09	3.71	1.78
	3.84	4.11	1.71	Watch
	3.14	4.4	1.81
	3.85	4.4	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (6.5)	4.07 ↓ (5)	1.74 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain
24.7%

Draw
22.5%

Al Dhafra
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

18.1%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

17.7%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain's performance.

Al Dhafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Dhafra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Dhafra than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Dhafra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Al Dhafra Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Arabi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Al Dhafra will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Noumonvi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ UAE League).

Al Dhafra is Qualified for UAE League

In recent matches, Al-Arabi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al Dhafra is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al Dhafra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al Dhafra is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Arabi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain
UAE Division 1
17.05.25	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Al-Fujairah	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Gulf United - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Al Hamriyah	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Al Jazira Hamra - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Dibba Al Fujairah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLWL
- Al Dhafra
UAE Division 1
24.05.25	Al Dhafra - Masfout	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Emirates Club - Al Dhafra	2:2 ✺
10.05.25	Al Dhafra - United FC	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Al Dhafra - Al-Fujairah	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Gulf United - Al Dhafra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Division 1
01.02.25	Al Dhafra - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	0:0
11.02.24	Al Dhafra - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	1:2
23.09.23	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Al Dhafra	2:2

Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Al Dhafra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide