Match Info

Division 1 - Round 12

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ecuador	07:55	DAZN App
Mexico	06:55	DAZN App
Paraguay	09:55	DAZN App
Peru	07:55	DAZN App
Uruguay	09:55	DAZN App
Venezuela	08:55	DAZN App
International	12:55	FIFA+


	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain		United FC

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.45	2.4
	2.41	3.57	2.51	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.46	3.45	2.4
	2.4	3.33	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.47)	3.41 ↓ (3.72)	2.46 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain
36.9%

Draw
26.4%

United FC
36.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37%

24.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

24.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

United FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United FC than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain - United FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Eisa R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Seferovic H. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Yahya H. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 5).

Al-Arabi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

United FC is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Arabi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Arabi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Arabi	7	5	1	1	17:10	7	16

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.01%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain
UAE Division 1
30.12.25	Al Hamriyah - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	2:3 ✺
26.12.25	Emirates Club - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	0:0 ✺
19.12.25	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Dibba Al-Hisn	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Hatta - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - Al-Fujairah	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLTT
- United FC UAE
UAE Division 1
26.12.25	United FC - Masfout	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Gulf United - United FC	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Fujairah - United FC	4:2 ✺
05.12.25	Majd - United FC	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	United FC - Emirates Club	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UAE Division 1
08.02.25	United FC - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	0:3
15.09.24	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - United FC	1:0
19.05.24	Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain - United FC	3:2
07.01.24	United FC - Al-Arabi Umm Al Quwain	1:2

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