Match Info

Shield Cup - Round 9

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday


	Al-Baqaa		Al-Jazeera

	1	X	2
	2.29	3.36	2.79	Watch
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.14	3.33	3.33	Watch
	1.96	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.55)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.16 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Baqaa
43%

Draw
28.1%

Al-Jazeera
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.1%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

27.4%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Baqaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Baqaa's performance.

Al-Jazeera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Jazeera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Baqaa than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Baqaa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Jazeera than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Jazeera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Baqaa - Al Jazeera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Baqaa won 0.

Recent form of Al-Baqaa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Jazeera has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Al-Jazeera has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Al-Baqaa won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:29. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Baqaa won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Baqaa
Jordan Shield Cup
10.12.25	Al-Baqaa - Al-Ramtha	1:2 ✺
04.12.25	Shabab Al-Ordon - Al-Baqaa	1:0 ✺
28.11.25	Al-Baqaa - Sama Al Sarhan	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Al-Wehdat - Al-Baqaa	3:1 ✺
Jordan Cup
09.11.25	Al-Baqaa - Al-Wehdat	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- Al-Jazeera Amman
Jordan Shield Cup
11.12.25	Al-Jazeera - Shabab Al-Ordon	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Sama Al Sarhan - Al-Jazeera	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Al-Jazeera - Al-Wehdat	1:0 ✺
20.11.25	Al-Jazeera - Al-Hussein Irbid	1:2 ✺
Jordan Premier League
31.10.25	Al-Jazeera - Al Faisaly Amman	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Jordan Premier League
14.08.25	Al-Baqaa - Al-Jazeera	0:0
12.09.21	Al-Baqaa - Al-Jazeera	0:3
07.05.21	Al-Jazeera - Al-Baqaa	5:1
15.02.19	Al-Jazeera - Al-Baqaa	1:1
30.08.18	Al-Baqaa - Al-Jazeera	2:4
22.02.18	Al-Jazeera - Al-Baqaa	3:0
15.10.17	Al-Baqaa - Al-Jazeera	1:1

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