Match Info

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium (Madinat Zayed)


	Al Dhafra		Al Urooba

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.1
	1.95	3.5	3.3
	1.97	3.52	3.44
	1.96	3.52	3.44
	1.91	3.3	3.2
	1.97	3.45	3.28	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.3)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	3.29 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Dhafra
46.3%

Draw
26.3%

Al Urooba
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

25.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

26.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Dhafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Dhafra's performance.

Al Urooba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Urooba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Dhafra than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Dhafra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Urooba than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Urooba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ UAE League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ UAE League).

Recent matches Al Dhafra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Urooba is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al Dhafra will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Al Dhafra won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Dhafra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Dhafra
UAE Division 1
22.12.23	Al-Taawon - Al Dhafra	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Al Dhafra - United FC	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Dubai City - Al Dhafra	0:2 ✺
23.11.23	Al Dhafra - Al Dhaid	2:2 ✺
17.11.23	Dibba Al Fujairah - Al Dhafra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTWTT
- Al Urooba UAE
UAE Division 1
22.12.23	Al Urooba - Gulf Heroes	3:3 ✺
16.12.23	Gulf United - Al Urooba	1:2 ✺
23.11.23	Al Urooba - Al-Taawon	1:0 ✺
17.11.23	United FC - Al Urooba	1:2 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
11.11.23	Dibba Al Fujairah - Al Urooba	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Presidents Cup
14.10.23	Al Dhafra - Al Urooba	1:1
UAE Football League
25.05.22	Al Dhafra - Al Urooba	2:1
09.01.22	Al Urooba - Al Dhafra	1:1
UAE League Cup
09.12.21	Al Urooba - Al Dhafra	3:0

Al Dhafra - Al Urooba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide