Match Info

QSL - Round 11

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium (Doha)

Referee: Al Athbah A. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Qatar	Shoof


	Al Duhail		Qatar SC

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.45	4.85
	1.52	4.6	5.1	Watch
	1.5	4.2	4.8
	1.47	4.33	5.32	Watch
	1.52	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.46)	4.42 ↓ (4.83)	5.01 ↓ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Duhail
60.9%

Draw
20.8%

Qatar SC
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

19.4%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

18.6%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Qatar SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Duhail, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qatar SC than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Al Duhail - Qatar SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al Duhail will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Qatar SC will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Duhail (votes: 1 - 50%). Qatar SC (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Qatar SC (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Qatar SC (4.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Duhail (votes: 1 - 25%). Qatar SC (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Burke B. (G) 7. Mohammed I. 21. Castelletto J. 22. Bamba I. 18. Al Brake S. 8. Edmilson Junior 6. Verratti M. (C) 12. Boudiaf K. 5. Al Rawi B. 9. Piatek K. 10. Luis Alberto	17. Mahmoud A. N. (G) 24. Mason N. 22. Russo F. (C) 4. Saoudi A. 20. Palangi E. 23. Soria S. 44. Al Hadhrami N. 40. Diouf S. F. 12. Masoud I. 11. Yan 9. Joao Pedro
Substitutes
45. Abushanab A. I. 20. Al Ahrak A. 24. Al Amin H. 14. Al Minhali G. 4. Aymen Y. 92. Babli M. 19. Bourigeaud B. 13. El Sharkawy G. (G) 15. Luiz Ceara 17. Sabaly Y.	74. Al Abbasi S. (G) 77. Al Battat M. 14. Al Bistamy M. 31. Al Bustami M. (G) 2. Baksh N. 30. Brahmi S. 19. Ibrahim A. 21. Sayyar A.
Coaches
Belmadi D.	Marquez Lopez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Al Rawi B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yan 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Mohammed I. ⚽, Al Brake S. (A),
57', Al Brake S. 🟨,
59', Verratti M. 🟨,
63', Diouf S. F. 🟨,
66', Soria S. ↓, Brahmi S. ↑,
66', Masoud I. ↓, Al Battat M. ↑,
73', Mohammed I. ↓, Al Amin H. ↑,
78', Luis Alberto ↓, Bourigeaud B. ↑,
85', Al Rawi B. 🟨,
89', Diouf S. F. ↓, Ibrahim A. ↑,
89', Piatek K. ↓, Sabaly Y. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 3.

Recent form of Al Duhail has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Qatar SC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al Duhail may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al Duhail is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 49:19. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Duhail won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Duhail
AFC Champions League
22.12.25	Tractor Sazi - Al Duhail	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
14.12.25	Al-Shahania - Al Duhail	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Al Duhail - Al Bidda	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
24.11.25	Al Duhail - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	4:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
21.11.25	Al Duhail - Al-Ahli Doha	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTWL
- Qatar SC
Qatar QSL Cup
12.12.25	Al Bidda - Qatar SC	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Qatar SC - Umm-Salal	6:1 ✺
27.11.25	Al-Markhiya - Qatar SC	3:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
23.11.25	Qatar SC - Al-Arabi Doha	1:5 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
14.11.25	Qatar SC - Al-Shahania	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
12.01.25	Al Duhail - Qatar SC	4:1
Qatar QSL Cup
30.08.24	Al Duhail - Qatar SC	2:1
Qatar QSL
10.08.24	Qatar SC - Al Duhail	1:6
28.04.24	Qatar SC - Al Duhail	4:2
09.12.23	Al Duhail - Qatar SC	1:1
18.03.23	Qatar SC - Al Duhail	1:3
07.09.22	Al Duhail - Qatar SC	3:0

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