Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Al Ettifaq club stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Al-Ettifaq Dammam		Al Raed

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	4.75
	1.6	3.9	5.25
	1.63	4	5
	1.63	3.94	5.48
	1.62	3.84	5.35	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5
	1.59	3.8	5.27	Watch
	1.63	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)	3.86 ↑ (3.63)	5.14 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
57.9%

Draw
24%

Al Raed
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25.6%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

25.4%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Al Ettifaq Dammam - Al Raed Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Al Raed will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ettifaq: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodak M. (G) 61. Al Otaibi R. 25. Hindi A. 3. Madu A. 33. Al Olayan M. 75. Fofana S. 8. Wijnaldum G. (C) 14. Vitinho 7. Toko Ekambi K. 9. Dembele M. 21. Radif A.	50. Sunyur M. (G) 32. Al Dossary M. 94. Al Rajeh M. 21. Gonzalez O. 16. Qasmi A. 13. Al Yousif A. 17. Abeid M. 18. Hazazi N. 15. Al Amri S. 7. Sayoud A. 11. El Berkaoui K.
Substitutes
15. Abdullah Al Bishi 46. Al Elewai A. 88. Al Malki A. 17. Al Musallam H. 44. Al Ruhaili A. (G) 87. Al Sibyani M. 18. Costa J. 77. Dawran M. M. Y. 10. Medran A.	9. Al Ghamdi R. 99. Al-Khaibri T. F. 55. Al Rajhi F. S. (G) 42. Al Zahrani A. 77. Bassam H. 4. Hazazi A. 41. Sahli N. 25. Shami A.
Coaches
Gerrard S.	Hellmann O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', El Berkaoui K. ↓, Sahli N. ↑,
20', Al Amri S. 🟨,
22', Sayoud A. ↓, Al-Khaibri T. F. ↑,
36', 0 - 1, Al Amri S. ⚽,
45+6', Hindi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wijnaldum G. ↓, Medran A. ↑,
47', Hazazi N. 🟨,
56', Vitinho ↓, Costa J. ↑,
78', Hindi A. ↓, Dawran M. M. Y. ↑,
88', Al Yousif A. ↓, Hazazi A. ↑,
89', Al Dossary M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Ettifaq won 1.

Al-Ettifaq is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Al Raed is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Al-Ettifaq is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Al-Ettifaq won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:23 (average 1.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Ettifaq won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
29.09.24	Al-Taawoun - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
23.09.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Adalh	2:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
20.09.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:3 ✺
14.09.24	Al Fateh - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:2 ✺
28.08.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Akhdoud	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLWW
- Al Raed
Saudi Professional League
29.09.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Raed	2:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
25.09.24	Jeddah - Al Raed	0:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
21.09.24	Al Raed - Al-Riyadh	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Al-Feiha - Al Raed	0:5 ✺
27.08.24	Al Raed - Al-Qadisiya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
27.04.24	Al Raed - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:2
04.11.23	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Raed	0:0
03.03.23	Al Raed - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:2
15.09.22	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Raed	1:2
05.02.22	Al Raed - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1
12.09.21	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Raed	2:2
25.05.21	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Raed	3:1

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