Match Info

QSL - Round 4

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)

Referee: Al Athbah A. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Qatar	Al Kass Five, Shoof
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Al-Gharafa		Lusail City

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.70	3.50
	1.73	3.55	3.75
	1.77	4.00	3.50
	1.88	4	3.49
	1.90	4.00	3.45
	1.74	3.82	3.80	Watch
	1.84	3.75	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.5)	3.83 ↓ (4.35)	3.56 ↓ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
50.6%

Draw
23.8%

Lusail City
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

20.8%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharafa's form might have worsened.

Lusail City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lusail City's recent form is better than expected.

Al Gharafa - Lusail City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. N'Diaye K. (G) 18. Al Oui A. 20. Jang Hyun-Soo 4. Sano S. 23. Fadlalla S. 29. Diaz F. 13. Sassi F. 11. Surag A. 8. Brahimi Y. (C) 7. Coman F. 9. Magri F.	1. Shakouri A. (G) 2. Pilali A. 4. Russo F. 6. Ebrahimi O. (C) 27. Aiash M. 66. Nemati A. 7. Zavoshi F. 20. Al Hadhrami N. 8. Mohammed K. 11. Firouzi H. 19. Rodrigo
Substitutes
90. Aladin H. 26. Al Ali R. 5. Essam M. 49. Faragalla R. 34. Gamal M. (G) 22. Hassan A. 31. Kone A. (G) 97. Mohamed A. 96. Ounas A. 19. Saaed Ahmed Y. 6. Traore D.	5. Al Karatly A. 15. Al Oun A. 22. Geralnik T. 96. Hassan A. (G) 10. Jjbril S. 3. Karami A. 70. Khaled M. 14. Mansour K. 21. Ndiaye A. 68. Rashid A. 9. Stojanovski G. 45. Taher Khan M.
Coaches
Martins P.	Mesquita E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Sassi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Aiash M. 🟨,
64', Coman F. ↓, Ounas A. ↑,
70', Brahimi Y. ↓, Aladin H. ↑,
74', Mohammed K. 🟨,
80', Rodrigo ↓, Stojanovski G. ↑,
80', Ebrahimi O. ↓, Geralnik T. ↑,
80', Mohammed K. ↓, Taher Khan M. ↑,
81', Surag A. ↓, Al Ali R. ↑,
85', Al Hadhrami N. ↓, Jjbril S. ↑,
90', Aiash M. ↓, Karami A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6).

Al-Gharafa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, Al-Gharafa is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Lusail	4	1	2	1	7:4	3	5
9	Al Gharafa	4	1	1	2	4:8	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
05.09.26	Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa	4:1 ✺
Qatar Cup
01.09.26	Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
27.08.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	1:3 ✺
21.08.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Gharafa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWT
- Lusail City FC
Qatar QSL
04.09.26	Lusail City - Al-Wakrah	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Al-Ahli Doha - Lusail City	3:3 ✺
20.08.26	Al-Rayyan - Lusail City	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Dordrecht - Lusail City	5:0 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
30.04.26	Lusail City - Al Bidda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLLL

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