Match Info

EGYPT: DIVISION 2 - GROUP C - ROUND 11

Date: 27 January 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Al Hammam		Al Magd

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.85	2.75
	2.6	2.6	2.9
	2.46	2.84	3.01
	2.6	2.6	2.9
	2.44	2.88	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.22)	2.75 ↓ (2.8)	2.9 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Hammam
36%

Draw
32.8%

Al Magd
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

32.3%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

31.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Hammam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Al Magd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Hammam than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Hammam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Magd than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Magd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	63.6%	9.1%

Al Hammam - Al Magd Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Al Hammam will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Al Magd will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Al Hammam is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Magd is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Hammam will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al Hammam won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Hammam won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Hammam SC
Egyptian Division 2 - Group C
16.01.23	Al Hammam - Kafr El Sheikh	2:0 ✺
11.01.23	Tanta - Al Hammam	2:0 ✺
04.01.23	Al Hammam - Dekrnes	1:2 ✺
14.12.22	Ittihad Nabarouh - Al Hammam	3:2 ✺
07.12.22	Al Hammam - Gomhoriat Shebin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLT
- Al Magd
Egyptian Division 2 - Group C
18.01.23	Gomhoriat Shebin - Al Magd	1:0 ✺
11.01.23	Al Magd - Salloum	2:2 ✺
04.01.23	Baladeyet El Mahalla - Al Magd	1:1 ✺
28.12.22	Al Magd - El Mansoura	1:2 ✺
14.12.22	Al Magd - Abu Qir Fertilizers	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Division 2 - Group C
26.05.22	Al Hammam - Al Magd	1:1
06.01.22	Al Magd - Al Hammam	1:0

Al Hammam - Al Magd