Match Info

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 31 December 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Al Hamriyah		Baynounah

	1	X	2
	1.23	6	8
	1.31	4.75	7.25
	1.23	5.6	8.4
	1.23	5.72	9.86
	1.22	5.25	8.5
	1.22	5.9	9.1
	1.24	5.8	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.37)	5.57 ↑ (5)	8.53 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Hamriyah
73.1%

Draw
16.3%

Baynounah
10.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66%

18.1%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

10.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Hamriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Hamriyah's performance.

Baynounah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baynounah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Hamriyah than the current prediction. (-35.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Hamriyah that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baynounah than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baynounah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Al Hamriyah - Baynounah Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Al Hamriyah will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Baynounah will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Hamriyah: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16).

Al Hamriyah is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Baynounah has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al Hamriyah could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al Hamriyah is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Hamriyah Club
UAE Division 1
24.12.22	Dibba Al-Hisn - Al Hamriyah	3:2 ✺
17.12.22	Al Hamriyah - Al-Fujairah	1:1 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
06.12.22	Al-Taawon - Al Hamriyah	1:2 ✺
UAE Division 1
27.11.22	Gulf Heroes - Al Hamriyah	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Al Hamriyah - Emirates Club	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTWLL
- Baynounah SC
UAE Division 1
24.12.22	Baynounah - Al-Taawon	1:1 ✺
16.12.22	Al Jazira Hamra - Baynounah	5:1 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
06.12.22	Al Dhafra - Baynounah	3:0 ✺
UAE Division 1
19.11.22	Baynounah - Dibba Al-Hisn	0:3 ✺
13.11.22	Al-Fujairah - Baynounah	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Hamriyah Club
UAE Division 1
31.10.26	Al Hamriyah - Gulf United	✺

Al Hamriyah - Baynounah