Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 6

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1
Africa	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 4, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV 3, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	Movistar Plus+, #Vamos
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	S Sport+, Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox


	Al Hazem		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
	10	8	1.17
	12.5	7.5	1.16
	10.43	6.7	1.17
	8.06	5.08	1.31	Watch
	11.1	7.7	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.42 ↑ (8.06)	7 ↑ (5.08)	1.19 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Hazem
8.9%

Draw
13.3%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
77.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

18.2%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

17.3%

74.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Hazem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Nassr Riyadh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Al Hazem - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Al Hazem (8.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Hazem (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Varela B. (G) 34. Al Dakheel A. (C) 4. Tanker S. 13. Al Shanqiti A. 82. Al Harbi A. 6. Al Sayyali B. 32. Rosier L. 27. Al Nakhli A. 11. Sayoud A. 9. Al Somah O. 10. Martins F.	1. Al Aqidi N. (G) 12. Boushal N. 3. Simakan M. 26. Martinez I. 23. Yahya A. 10. Mane S. 17. Al Khaibari A. 20. Angelo 21. Coman K. 7. Ronaldo C. (C) 79. Joao Felix
Substitutes
19. Al Habashi N. 8. Al Harajin A. 2. Al Rashid S. 77. Al Subaie K. 5. Al Yami M. 3. Boutouil A. 80. Carvalho M. 17. Mokwana E. 23. Zaied I. (G)	5. Al Amri A. 61. Al Buainain M. (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 19. Al Hassan A. 83. Al Najdi S. 77. Camara H. 29. Ghareeb A. 16. Marran M. 80. Wesley
Coaches
Kadri J.	Jesus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Mane S. 🟨,
24', Al Khaibari A. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Joao Felix ⚽, Yahya A. (A),
33', Al Somah O. 🟨,
44', Al Dakheel A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yahya A. ↓, Al Ghannam S. ↑,
46', Al Harbi A. ↓, Al Rashid S. ↑,
48', Al Nakhli A. 🟨,
64', Al Sayyali B. ↓, Carvalho M. ↑,
64', Martins F. ↓, Al Habashi N. ↑,
64', Al Somah O. ↓, Mokwana E. ↑,
72', Joao Felix ↓, Wesley ↑,
72', Angelo ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
81', Al Dakheel A. ↓, Boutouil A. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Wesley (A),
90+2', Mane S. ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
90+2', Coman K. ↓, Al Amri A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Hazem won 0.

In recent matches, Al Hazem has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Nassr is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al Hazem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Al-Nassr has had a series of away games.

In this match, Al-Nassr is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al Hazem won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:27. (average 1.1:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Hazem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.6:3.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Hazem
Saudi Professional League
18.10.25	Al Akhdoud - Al Hazem	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Al Hazem - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
23.09.25	Al Hazem - Neom	2:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
20.09.25	Al Hazem - Al Fateh	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Hazem	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWTL
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
AFC Champions League 2
22.10.25	Goa - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
18.10.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Fateh	5:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
01.10.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
26.09.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
23.09.25	Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi King Cup
23.09.24	Al Hazem - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2
Saudi Professional League
29.02.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Hazem	4:4
02.09.23	Al Hazem - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:5
23.06.22	Al Hazem - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:4
26.12.21	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Hazem	2:1
22.02.20	Al Hazem - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2
20.09.19	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Hazem	0:1

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