The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Ittihad Alexandria 45.9%
Draw 32.7%
El Gouna 21.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.4%
34.9%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
33.6%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ittihad Alexandria's performance.
El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Gouna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ittihad Alexandria that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Gouna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Al Ittihad Alexandria - El Gouna Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ittihad: 64.6% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Al-Ittihad (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - no (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Soliman S. (G) 24. Awad M. 7. Mostafa M. 5. Ibrahim M. (C) 30. Mosaad K. 23. Isaac S. 8. Tony M. 80. Arumala J. 14. Fakhri M. 22. Alaa N. 10. Hassan H.
16. Emad I. (G) 2. Taalab A. 5. El Shimi S. 28. Metawea M. 44. Turay A. 14. El Sayed N. (C) 42. Egbemba M. 20. Belia A. 74. Zizo 70. Gamal A. 29. Ojo T.
Substitutes
4. Abdellah I. 18. Ebuka J. 31. El Gabry A. (G) 25. Emad M. 21. Hamdi A. 34. Nagy A. 99. Osama M. 44. Semakula K. 11. Wahid Y.
4. Abou-Salima I. 13. El Gazar O. 24. El Zahdi A. 34. Essam M. 9. Mohsen M. 90. Parfait Teukeu W. 22. Reda M. 30. Shaaban A. 99. Walid B. (G)
Coaches
El Gamal H.
Mostafa A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Mostafa M. (Own goal),
10', 1 - 1, Hassan H. ⚽, Arumala J. (A),
41', Ojo T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zizo ↓, El Gazar O. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Tony M. ⚽,
62', Ojo T. 🟨,
66', Tony M. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
66', Gamal A. ↓, Shaaban A. ↑,
66', Arumala J. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
66', Taalab A. ↓, Mohsen M. ↑,
71', Turay A. ↓, Essam M. ↑,
75', Hassan H. ↓, Ebuka J. ↑,
80', Alaa N. ↓, Wahid Y. ↑,
80', Fakhri M. ↓, Hamdi A. ↑,
83', Egbemba M. ↓, Reda M. ↑,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 18th in the Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 1.
Al-Ittihad has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
El Gouna is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Al-Ittihad is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ittihad has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:16 (averaging 0.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Ittihad against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 0.9:0.7 per game).
Watch
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Soliman S. (G) 
Isaac S. 
Turay A. 
Egbemba M. 
Semakula K. 
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