Match Info

Premier League - Championship Group - Round 1

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tripoli International Stadium (Tripoli) 🌤️ ...


	Al-Ittihad Tripoli		Al-Ahly Tripoli

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.75	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 (3.05)	3.75 (3.75)	1.97 (1.97)

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Al-Ittihad Tripoli
29.7%

Draw
24.2%

Al-Ahly Tripoli
46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

25%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Al-Ittihad Tripoli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Al-Ahly Tripoli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Tripoli than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahly Tripoli than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

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Al-Ittihad Tripoli is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Ahly Tripoli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Ittihad Tripoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Al-Ahly Tripoli has had a series of home games.

Al-Ahly Tripoli could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad Tripoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Ittihad Tripoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ittihad Club Tripoli
Libyan Premier League
20.04.26	Al-Ittihad Tripoli - Al Ittihad Misurata	1:1 ✺
15.04.26	Al-Tirsana - Al-Ittihad Tripoli	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Al-Ittihad Tripoli - Shabab Al Ghar	4:1 ✺
12.03.26	Olympic Azzaweya - Al-Ittihad Tripoli	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Ittihad Tripoli - Al-Shomooa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWWTW
- Al-Ahly Tripoli
Libyan Premier League
23.04.26	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Asswehly	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Al Khums - Al-Ahly Tripoli	3:1 ✺
13.04.26	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Abu Salem	7:1 ✺
09.04.26	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Al Dahra Tripoli	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Assabah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW

CAF Confederation Cup
24.04.22	Al-Ahly Tripoli - Al-Ittihad Tripoli	1:0
17.04.22	Al-Ittihad Tripoli - Al-Ahly Tripoli	0:0

Al-Ittihad Tripoli - Al-Ahly Tripoli