Match Info

Division 1 - Round 11

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Prince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium (Haʼil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Jabalain		Al-Diriyah

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.15	2.12
	2.98	3.2	1.99
	3.36	3.33	2.02	Watch
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.29	3.14	2.09	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.91)	3.17 ↓ (3.19)	2.05 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Jabalain
27.7%

Draw
28.4%

Al-Diriyah
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.7%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

28%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Jabalain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Jabalain than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (-3%)

Al Jabalain - Al Diriyah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Al Waked M. (G) 27. Al Nuweqi H. 12. Al Harbi F. 4. Queiros D. 3. Al Bukhari A. 10. Pessoa P. 5. Al Nakhli I. 6. Madani I. 9. Toure C. 7. Novais J. 11. Cinari E.	33. Abdullah W. (G) 12. Wadi T. 44. Al Zaaqi N. 15. Colley O. 21. Hameran M. 6. Al Qarni I. 8. Al Qahtani Z. 17. Diandy C. 14. Rodriguez O. 7. Marega M. 9. Laborde G.
Substitutes
16. Al Bakr F. 24. Al Bloushi R. 1. Al Ghubaini A. (G) 92. Al Habib M. 20. Al Harbi A. 18. Al-Shammari K. S. 55. Al Shammari Z. 8. Al Terais F. 15. Ashraf A.	78. Al Asiri K. 10. Al Dossari A. 2. Al Faraj A. 5. Al Farhan S. 22. Al Harbi A. (G) 77. Al Saeed S. 80. Al Shahrani A. 82. Al Zarie H. 16. Munshi B. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Toure C. ⚽,
29', Abdullah W. ↓, Al Harbi A. ↑,
45+4', Al Waked M. 🟨,
45+7', Al Qarni I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Al Zaaqi N. ↓, Al Faraj A. ↑,
46', Diandy C. ↓, Al Saeed S. ↑,
59', Al Harbi A. 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Toure C. ⚽,
67', 3 - 0, Novais J. ⚽,
70', Al Qahtani Z. ↓, Al Farhan S. ↑,
70', Hameran M. ↓, Al Zarie H. ↑,
81', Cinari E. 🟨,
82', Cinari E. ↓, Al-Shammari K. S. ↑,
85', Toure C. 🟨,
90+3', Al Nakhli I. ↓, Al Harbi A. ↑,
90+3', Pessoa P. ↓, Al Bakr F. ↑,
90+3', Madani I. ↓, Al Bloushi R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Al-Jabalain has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Diriyah is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Jabalain may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Al-Diriyah will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Jabalain won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Jabalain won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Jabalain FC
Saudi Division 1
29.11.25	Al-Taee - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Al-Jabalain - Al Raed	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Al-Zulfi - Al-Jabalain	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Orobah	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Anwar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWTLT
- Al-Diriyah
Saudi Division 1
28.11.25	Al-Diriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	5:1 ✺
23.11.25	Al-Diriyah - Al-Faisaly	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Al-Batin - Al-Diriyah	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Al-Diriyah - Jeddah	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Al-Orobah - Al-Diriyah	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
21.03.22	Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah	3:2
10.11.21	Al-Diriyah - Al-Jabalain	1:1
26.03.21	Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah	1:0

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