Match Info

UAE League - Round 5

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium (Abu Dhabi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Al-Jazira		Al-Nasr

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	4.40	5.50	Watch
	1.53	4.63	5.63
	1.5	4.58	5.47	Watch
	1.51	4.55	5.25
	1.47	4.25	5.43	Watch
	1.51	4.20	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.61)	4.44 ↑ (4.09)	5.38 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Jazira
62%

Draw
20.8%

Al-Nasr
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

22.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

21.7%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Jazira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Jazira than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Al Jazira - Al Nasr Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Destanoglu E. (G) 2. Igor Serrote 4. Willyan Rocha 28. Tagir R. 16. Meloni M. 80. Bruno (C) 8. Coulibaly M. 23. Asllani K. 77. Milson 10. Malcom 94. Talisca	12. Shambih A. (C) 24. Al Zaabi Z. 15. Sanogo A. 4. Glauber 55. Petrovic D. 17. Wesley Delgado 8. Marin M. 57. Faiz I. 10. Ghaedi M. 70. Hrustic A. 9. Bedia C.
Substitutes
6. Al Attas M. 5. Al Hammadi K. 81. Al Memari A. 17. Amaral R. 30. Dennis A. 57. Fadaaq Z. (G) 25. Geusens J. 55. Khaseif A. (G) 74. Malkocoglu S. 39. Mujkic N. 15. Rabii M. 99. Vinicius Mello	5. Abdulbasit M. 7. Agudelo K. 77. Chadli N. 14. Felipe Motta 21. Idrees A. 30. Joao Moreira 6. Mahdi H. 38. Ndiaye M. 37. Salem S. (G) 2. Sultan S. 28. Toure A.
Coaches
Olaroiu C.	Milojevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Bruno ⚽, Coulibaly M. (A),
17', Faiz I. 🟨,
29', Wesley Delgado 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bedia C. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
49', Sanogo A. 🟨,
56', Wesley Delgado ↓, Chadli N. ↑,
57', Bruno ↓, Vinicius Mello ↑,
59', Willyan Rocha 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Ghaedi M. ⚽, Faiz I. (A),
69', Marin M. ↓, Felipe Motta ↑,
70', Asllani K. ↓, Amaral R. ↑,
70', Igor Serrote ↓, Rabii M. ↑,
80', Ghaedi M. ↓, Agudelo K. ↑,
89', Coulibaly M. ↓, Al Memari A. ↑,
90', Meloni M. ↓, Dennis A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Jazira won 2.

Al Jazira is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Nasr has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al Jazira is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Al Jazira will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Jazira won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Jazira won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Jazira	5	4	1	0	11:2	9	13
9	Al Nasr	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Nasr - the odds 4.49 are the expected chance of winning is 20.46%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Jazira Club
UAE Football League
05.09.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Jazira	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Al-Jazira - Ajman Club	3:0 ✺
23.08.26	Al-Sharjah - Al-Jazira	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Hatta - Al-Jazira	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.08.26	Al-Jazira - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL
- Al-Nasr SC
UAE Football League
06.09.26	Al-Nasr - Ajman Club	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Al Ain - Al-Nasr	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Al-Nasr - Al-Wahda	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Al-Nasr - Ittihad Kalba	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nasr	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
24.04.26	Al-Nasr - Al-Jazira	3:2
13.09.25	Al-Jazira - Al-Nasr	0:0
23.02.25	Al-Nasr - Al-Jazira	2:3
28.09.24	Al-Jazira - Al-Nasr	3:1
24.02.24	Al-Jazira - Al-Nasr	2:3
19.08.23	Al-Nasr - Al-Jazira	1:3
07.04.23	Al-Jazira - Al-Nasr	4:3

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