Match Info

UAE League - Round 25

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium (Abu Dhabi)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	ADtv
World	Triller TV+


	Al-Jazira		Al Wasl

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	3.5	2.3
	2.83	3.7	2.32
	2.81	3.63	2.28	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.25
	2.74	3.5	2.23	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.38)	3.47 ↑ (3.25)	2.31 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Jazira
33.9%

Draw
26.4%

Al Wasl
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

27.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

27.4%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Jazira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Al Wasl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Jazira than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Wasl than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Al Jazira - Al Wasl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Lekovic S. (G) 15. Rabii M. 4. Willyan Rocha 5. Al Hammadi K. (C) 16. Meloni M. 80. Bruno 17. Elneny M. 8. Coulibaly M. 77. Milson 20. Fekir N. 9. Banza S.	32. Ali M. (G) 79. Malheiro P. 34. Adryelson 25. Gabriel Vareta 16. Hugo 6. Sidibe S. 18. Janeer M. 30. Palacios Alzate B. 31. Gimenez N. 7. Saleh A. (C) 9. Miguel Borja
Substitutes
3. Aberdin N. 11. Akonnor R. 6. Al Attas M. 54. Alhammadi A. A. (G) 25. Geusens J. 55. Khaseif A. (G) 21. Lagrimi I. 7. Ramadan A. 28. Tagir R. 19. Traore O. 99. Vinicius Mello 22. Vukic N.	17. Abdulla S. (G) 3. Al Mheiri Y. 50. Alrahma Y. F. (G) 8. Al Zaabi T. 4. Bouftini S. 83. Joao Alves 10. Lima F. 96. Renato Junior 14. Rodrigo 12. Saleh A. 19. Serginho 13. Tapia R.
Coaches
Pusic M.	Vitoria R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Gimenez N. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Adryelson (Own goal),
45+2', Al Hammadi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Meloni M. 🟨,
56', Janeer M. 🟨,
59', Fekir N. 🟨,
61', Palacios Alzate B. ↓, Serginho ↑,
61', Miguel Borja ↓, Renato Junior ↑,
61', Janeer M. ↓, Tapia R. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Sidibe S. ⚽,
68', Rabii M. 🟨,
73', Bruno ↓, Vinicius Mello ↑,
73', Meloni M. ↓, Lagrimi I. ↑,
78', Gimenez N. ↓, Lima F. ↑,
82', Tapia R. 🟨,
84', Saleh A. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
88', Fekir N. ↓, Traore O. ↑,
88', Elneny M. ↓, Vukic N. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Lima F. ⚽, Serginho (A),
90', Lima F. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Jazira won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Jazira won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:33. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Jazira won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.7:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Jazira	5	4	1	0	11:2	9	13
4	Al Wasl	5	3	1	1	15:6	9	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Jazira Club
UAE Football League
05.05.26	Ajman Club - Al-Jazira	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Al-Nasr - Al-Jazira	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Al-Jazira - Dibba Al Fujairah	4:3 ✺
04.04.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Jazira	2:1 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
21.03.26	Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWLW
- Al Wasl FC
UAE Football League
06.05.26	Al-Wahda - Al Wasl	2:3 ✺
24.04.26	Al Wasl - Dibba Al Fujairah	4:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
19.04.26	Al Wasl - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:4 ✺
UAE Football League
11.04.26	Ajman Club - Al Wasl	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Sharjah - Al Wasl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
17.01.26	Al Wasl - Al-Jazira	1:0
UAE League Cup
30.11.25	Al Wasl - Al-Jazira	1:2
16.11.25	Al-Jazira - Al Wasl	0:0
UAE Football League
07.04.25	Al-Jazira - Al Wasl	0:5
UAE League Cup
22.03.25	Al-Jazira - Al Wasl	3:1
17.03.25	Al Wasl - Al-Jazira	1:0
UAE Football League
31.10.24	Al Wasl - Al-Jazira	2:2

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