The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al Jazira Hamra 10.9%
Draw 16.8%
Dibba Al Fujairah 72.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
13.6%
19.9%
66.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13%
19%
69.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Jazira Hamra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Dibba Al Fujairah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dibba Al Fujairah's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Jazira Hamra than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dibba Al Fujairah than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Saymon Cabral ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Guilherme de Castro ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, Soni K. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, Wallace ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Jazira Hamra won 0.
Al Jazira Hamra is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Dibba Al Fujairah have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Dibba Al Fujairah could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Dibba Al Fujairah holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Al Jazira Hamra has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:20 (averaging 0.1:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al Jazira Hamra against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 0:6 goals (averaging 0:2 per game).