Match Info

Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Al Jubail		Al Hazem

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.55	1.82
	3.81	3.92	1.82
	3.77	3.8	1.79	Watch
	4.22	3.58	1.72	Watch
	3.75	3.55	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.82)	3.68 ↓ (4.03)	1.79 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Jubail
23.8%

Draw
25%

Al Hazem
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

22.6%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

21.7%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Jubail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Al Hazem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Hazem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Jubail than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Jubail that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Hazem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Jubail - Al Hazem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Vina (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 2 - 0, Allan Sousa ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Gano Z. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Al Jubail is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al Hazem is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al Hazem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al Hazem is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al Jubail won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Jubail Club
Saudi Division 1
14.04.25	Al-Jabalain - Al Jubail	0:0 ✺
08.04.25	Al Jubail - Jeddah	1:1 ✺
03.04.25	Al-Najma - Al Jubail	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Abha - Al Jubail	4:0 ✺
10.03.25	Al Jubail - Al-Ain	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLLT
- Al Hazem
Saudi Division 1
16.04.25	Al Hazem - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Al Hazem - Al-Najma	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Jeddah - Al Hazem	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Al-Zulfi - Al Hazem	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Al Hazem - Al-Jabalain	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
11.12.24	Al Hazem - Al Jubail	3:1

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