Match Info
Stars League - Round 8Date: 17 September 2026, ThursdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Iraq | Almanasa |
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Al-Karkh |
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Naft Maysan |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.70 |
2.95 |
2.40 |
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2.48 |
2.95 |
2.65 |
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2.83 |
3.08 |
2.44 |
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2.56 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
 Watch |
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2.80 |
2.80 |
2.40 |
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2.78 |
2.86 |
2.42 |
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2.80 |
2.85 |
2.44 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.32) |
2.91 ↓
(2.95) |
2.51 ↓
(2.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Al-Karkh
33.2% | Draw
30.9% | Naft Maysan
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Karkh's form might have worsened.Naft Maysan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Karkh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naft Maysan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Al Karkh - Naft Maysan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Gueye Dieme D. ⚽, Sfaxi A. (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Alaa S. ⚽, Zakri Y. (A),
- 23', 2 - 1, Sou E. ⚽, Zakri Y. (A),
- 26', 3 - 1, Hussein S. ⚽, Fahem H. (A),
- 38', 3 - 2, Sfaxi A. ⚽, Mahmoud Ahmed (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 2.Al-Karkh is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Naft Maysan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).Including home matches between the teams, Al-Karkh won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 15 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
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| 18 | Naft Missan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Al-Karkh - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.45%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.
Naft Maysan - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.3%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Iraqi Premier League | | | 18.03.26 | Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan | 1:1 | | 27.10.25 | Naft Maysan - Al-Karkh | 1:2 | | 02.03.25 | Naft Maysan - Al-Karkh | 1:2 | | 25.10.24 | Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan | 0:2 | | 30.06.24 | Naft Maysan - Al-Karkh | 0:0 | | 11.02.24 | Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan | 0:0 | | 29.11.22 | Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan | 1:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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