What is the expert prediction for Al-Karkh vs Naft Maysan?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Al-Karkh vs Naft Maysan. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Al-Karkh vs Naft Maysan Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, March 18, 2026)

Match Info

Stars League - Round 23

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Al-Karkh		Naft Maysan

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	3.9
	1.82	3.2	4.05
	1.82	3.35	4.09	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.83	3.22	4.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)	3.22 ↓ (3.31)	4.03 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karkh
49.6%

Draw
28%

Naft Maysan
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.7%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

27.1%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Naft Maysan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Soro Nanga M. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Nangolo N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Al-Karkh is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Karkh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Al Karkh	35	15	11	9	45:36	9	56
15	Naft Missan	35	9	10	16	44:54	-10	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
14.03.26	Al-Karkh - Duhok	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Naft - Al-Karkh	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Karkh	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Zawraa	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Talaba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWWWL
- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
13.03.26	Al-Zawraa - Naft Maysan	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Naft Maysan - Amanat Baghdad	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Karma - Naft Maysan	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
27.10.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Karkh	1:2
02.03.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Karkh	1:2
25.10.24	Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan	0:2
30.06.24	Naft Maysan - Al-Karkh	0:0
11.02.24	Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan	0:0
29.11.22	Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan	1:2
21.04.22	Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan	1:0