Match Info

Date: 22 March 2021, Monday


	Al-Kawkab		Al Hazem

	1	X	2
	4.33	2.95	1.83
	4.35	2.9	1.9
	4.1	3	1.81
	4.74	3.06	1.9
	3.9	3.25	1.83
	3.94	3.62	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (4.32)	3.13 ↓ (3.74)	1.85 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Kawkab
21.6%

Draw
29.1%

Al Hazem
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

24.8%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

20.2%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kawkab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Al Hazem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kawkab than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Hazem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Kawkab - Al Hazem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Saudi Professional League).

Recent matches Al-Kawkab is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al Hazem is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Kawkab could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Al Hazem have a series of home games.

In this match Al Hazem is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Kawkab won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kawkab FC
Saudi Division 1
09.03.21	Al-Adalh - Al-Kawkab	0:1 ✺
02.03.21	Al-Kawkab - Al-Nojoom	2:0
25.02.21	Al-Kawkab - Al-Bukayriyah	1:1 ✺
21.02.21	Al-Kawkab - Najran	1:2 ✺
17.02.21	Al-Feiha - Al-Kawkab	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTLL
- Al Hazem
Saudi Division 1
16.03.21	Al Hazem - Al-Thoqbah	4:0 ✺
10.03.21	Al Hazem - Al-Nahda	1:1 ✺
03.03.21	Al Hazem - Al-Diriyah	2:0 ✺
26.02.21	Ohud Medina - Al Hazem	3:2 ✺
22.02.21	Al Hazem - Al-Khaleej	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
04.12.20	Al Hazem - Al-Kawkab	2:0
21.03.18	Al Hazem - Al-Kawkab	1:1

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