Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 1 January 2024, Monday


	Al-Kholood		Al-Safa

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.9	5.5
	1.47	4	6
	1.53	3.95	6.09
	1.53	3.92	6.09
	1.36	3.9	6.5
	1.47	3.98	6.22	Watch
	1.49	3.9	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.34)	3.94 ↓ (4.33)	6.03 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Kholood
61.8%

Draw
23.1%

Al-Safa
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

20.9%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

20%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kholood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Kholood's form might have worsened.

Al-Safa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Kholood, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Safa than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Al Kholood - Al Safa Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Kholood will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Al-Kholood is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Al-Safa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Al-Kholood is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Al-Kholood to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kholood Club
Saudi Division 1
25.12.23	Jeddah - Al-Kholood	0:3 ✺
18.12.23	Al-Kholood - Hajer	2:2 ✺
12.12.23	Al-Taraji - Al-Kholood	0:0 ✺
06.12.23	Al-Kholood - Al-Orobah	3:1 ✺
27.11.23	Ohud Medina - Al-Kholood	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTWW
- Al-Safa Saudi
Saudi Division 1
26.12.23	Al-Jabalain - Al-Safa	4:1 ✺
20.12.23	Al-Safa - Al-Najma	1:1 ✺
13.12.23	Jeddah - Al-Safa	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Al-Safa - Ohud Medina	0:1 ✺
27.11.23	Al-Taraji - Al-Safa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTTLW

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