Match Info

Date: 30 December 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Al Magd		El Raja

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Al Magd
55.3%

Draw
28%

El Raja
16.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

15.8%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Al Magd have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

El Raja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Magd than the current prediction. (-21.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Magd that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Raja than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Raja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Al Magd is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

El Raja is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Raja could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al Magd is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Magd
Egyptian Division 2 - Group C
26.12.21	Salloum - Al Magd	0:0 ✺
16.12.21	Al Magd - Dekrnes	1:3 ✺
02.12.21	Al Magd - Al Zarka	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	El-Olympi - Al Magd	1:0 ✺
11.11.21	Al Magd - Baladeyet El Mahalla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWLW
- El Raja Marsa Matruh
Egyptian Division 2 - Group C
24.12.21	Al Hammam - El Raja	0:0 ✺
04.12.21	El Raja - Pioneers	0:2 ✺
29.11.21	Kafr El Sheikh - El Raja	1:0 ✺
25.11.21	El Raja - Haras El-Hodood	1:0 ✺
11.11.21	El Raja - El-Olympi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TLLWL

Al Magd - El Raja