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Current Win Probability
Al Masry 52.7%
Draw 28.4%
Haras El-Hodood 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
30.5%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
28.7%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Masry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Masry's performance.
Haras El-Hodood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haras El-Hodood might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Masry that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haras El-Hodood could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87%
8.7%
4.3%
Al Masry - Haras El Hodood Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Al Masry (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Al Masry (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al Masry will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Masry will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Masry (votes: 11 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tharwat E. (G) 8. Ali H. (C) 15. El Armouty A. 7. El Eraki K. 13. El Saadawy A. 11. El Shami M. 14. Hamada M. 29. Hashem M. 3. Mansour A. 21. Mugisha B. 25. Temine M.
18. El Zanfaly M. (G) 5. Abdelhakim I. 24. Awad M. (C) 12. Bayoumi M. 3. El Badry M. 17. El Deghemy M. 99. Hamdi M. 33. Mohamed M. 90. Nail A. 22. Saviola O. 21. Yasser M.
Substitutes
40. Ali A. 35. Ashraf M. 10. Bambo K. 33. El Saaiy O. 28. Farag Z. 42. Gaber M. 16. Hamdy M. (G) 37. Sharaf A. 36. Wahab Nader A.
4. Abou-Salima I. 25. Ashraf I. 45. Kouadja K. 11. Mostafa M. 74. Ouka M. 72. Tarek Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Mohamed M. ↓, Abou-Salima I. ↑,
20', El Saadawy A. 🟨,
35', El Armouty A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nail A. ↓, Ouka M. ↑,
63', Yasser M. ↓, Tarek Z. ↑,
71', El Shami M. ↓, Gaber M. ↑,
71', El Armouty A. ↓, El Saaiy O. ↑,
76', Saviola O. 🟨,
78', Temine M. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
78', El Saadawy A. ↓, Bambo K. ↑,
80', El Badry M. ↓, Kouadja K. ↑,
80', Saviola O. ↓, Raafat M. ↑,
85', Bayoumi M. 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Bambo K. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Masry won 3.
Al Masry has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Haras El-Hodood has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Haras El-Hodood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Al Masry won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Masry won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Al Masry - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.11%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.