What is the expert prediction for Al Mosul vs Al-Zawraa?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Al Mosul vs Al-Zawraa. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Al Mosul vs Al-Zawraa Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, September 03, 2026)

Match Info

Stars League - Round 5

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Al Mosul		Al-Zawraa

	1	X	2
	3.95	2.95	1.88
	3.86	2.93	1.88
	4.03	3.09	1.92	Watch
	3.75	2.85	1.84
	4.43	3.46	1.7	Watch
	3.9	3	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.53)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	1.85 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Mosul
22.4%

Draw
29.3%

Al-Zawraa
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27.7%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Mosul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Majid M. ⚽, Cabrera M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
71', 0 - 2, Abdulkareem H. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Osama Nabih Y. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Al Dali A. ⚽,

Preview

Al-Zawraa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al Mosul won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Al Mosul won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Zawraa	6	3	3	0	12:3	9	12
10	Al Mosul	6	2	2	2	8:9	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Zawraa - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.4%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Mosul SC
Iraqi Premier League
30.08.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al Mosul	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Al Mosul - Karbala	3:0 ✺
21.08.26	Al Mosul - Diyala	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Al-Karma - Al Mosul	1:1 ✺
01.06.26	Al Mosul - Al-Qasim	Al Mosul Awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWT?
- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
29.08.26	Al-Zawraa - Zakho	4:0 ✺
25.08.26	Al-Zawraa - Naft Maysan	4:0 ✺
21.08.26	Karbala - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Minaa	0:0 ✺
01.06.26	Najaf - Al-Zawraa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
02.03.26	Al-Zawraa - Al Mosul	1:1
31.10.25	Al Mosul - Al-Zawraa	1:3

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