Match Info

Stars League - Round 38

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday


	Najaf		Al-Zawraa

	1	X	2
	6.1	4.25	1.4
	6.41	4.47	1.34
	6.45	4.61	1.39	Watch
	6	4	1.4
	6.55	4.45	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.3 ↑ (6.04)	4.36 ↑ (3.58)	1.38 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najaf
14.3%

Draw
20.6%

Al-Zawraa
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

25.5%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

24.9%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Zawraa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Najaf - Al Zawraa Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Zawraa will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Khalaf A. J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Najaf is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 0.

Najaf is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Al-Zawraa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Najaf may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Zawraa is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Najaf won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Zawraa	9	5	3	1	15:6	9	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
28.05.26	Al-Qasim - Najaf	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Naft Maysan - Najaf	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Najaf - Al-Karkh	2:5 ✺
16.05.26	Zakho - Najaf	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Najaf - Arbil	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLTL
- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
27.05.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Naft	0:1 ✺
20.05.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Zawraa	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Qasim	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Zawraa	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
22.01.26	Al-Zawraa - Najaf	2:0
08.03.25	Najaf - Al-Zawraa	1:2
30.11.24	Al-Zawraa - Najaf	1:1
31.03.24	Al-Zawraa - Najaf	0:0
29.04.23	Al-Zawraa - Najaf	1:1
03.07.22	Al-Zawraa - Najaf	1:2
31.01.21	Najaf - Al-Zawraa	0:1

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