Match Info

Date: 8 December 2021, Wednesday


	Al-Nahda		Al-Diriyah

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.19	3.05	2.85
	2.26	3.12	3.17
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.26	3.13	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.43)	3.08 ↑ (2.8)	3.03 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nahda
41%

Draw
29.3%

Al-Diriyah
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.5%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

23%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nahda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Al-Diriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nahda than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nahda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Diriyah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Nahda - Al Diriyah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Al-Nahda is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Al-Diriyah is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Al-Diriyah have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Nahda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Nahda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nahda Club Saudi Arabia
Saudi Division 1
30.11.21	Al-Nahda - Al-Ain	1:1 ✺
23.11.21	Al-Kawkab - Al-Nahda	2:0 ✺
16.11.21	Al-Nahda - Al-Jabalain	1:1 ✺
09.11.21	Najran - Al-Nahda	2:0 ✺
01.11.21	Al-Nahda - Al-Sahel Qatif	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTLT
- Al-Diriyah
Saudi Division 1
30.11.21	Al-Diriyah - Al-Sahel Qatif	2:4 ✺
23.11.21	Hajer - Al-Diriyah	1:2 ✺
17.11.21	Al-Diriyah - Najran	1:1 ✺
10.11.21	Al-Diriyah - Al-Jabalain	1:1 ✺
02.11.21	Al-Diriyah - Al-Kawkab	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
09.02.21	Al-Nahda - Al-Diriyah	1:0
20.02.15	Al-Nahda - Al-Diriyah	1:0

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