Match Info

Date: 5 April 2022, Tuesday


	Al-Nahda		Al-Kawkab

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.1	3.8
	1.95	3.05	3.75
	1.88	3.1	3.65
	1.88	3.2	3.57
	1.88	2.88	4
	1.92	3.14	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.37)	3.08 ↑ (2.74)	3.8 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nahda
47.3%

Draw
29.1%

Al-Kawkab
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

32.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

32%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nahda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Nahda's performance.

Al-Kawkab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Kawkab might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nahda than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nahda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Kawkab than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Kawkab could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Nahda - Al Kawkab Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Nahda won 0.

Recent matches Al-Nahda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Kawkab is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Kawkab could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Al-Nahda will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Al-Nahda won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Nahda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nahda Club Saudi Arabia
Saudi Division 1
29.03.22	Al-Jabalain - Al-Nahda	1:2 ✺
22.03.22	Al-Nahda - Najran	0:2 ✺
16.03.22	Al-Sahel Qatif - Al-Nahda	0:0 ✺
09.03.22	Al-Adalh - Al-Nahda	1:2 ✺
02.03.22	Al-Nahda - Hajer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WLTWL
- Al-Kawkab FC
Saudi Division 1
30.03.22	Al-Kawkab - Al-Qadisiya	0:2 ✺
21.03.22	Al Akhdoud - Al-Kawkab	2:0 ✺
15.03.22	Al-Kawkab - Al-Diriyah	1:1 ✺
08.03.22	Bisha - Al-Kawkab	1:1 ✺
01.03.22	Al-Kawkab - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
23.11.21	Al-Kawkab - Al-Nahda	2:0
04.03.20	Al-Kawkab - Al-Nahda	0:1
08.10.19	Al-Nahda - Al-Kawkab	2:1
27.03.19	Al-Kawkab - Al-Nahda	1:2
07.11.18	Al-Nahda - Al-Kawkab	0:1
13.12.17	Al-Nahda - Al-Kawkab	3:2

Al-Nahda - Al-Kawkab: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide