Match Info

Date: 1 February 2022, Tuesday


	Al-Nahda		Al-Khaleej

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.4	3	2.05
	3.1	2.95	2.13
	3.15	2.99	2.34
	3.3	2.9	2.1
	3.1	3.08	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.5)	3 ↓ (3.11)	2.15 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nahda
28%

Draw
30%

Al-Khaleej
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

29.6%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.4%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nahda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Al-Khaleej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nahda than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nahda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Khaleej could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Nahda - Al Khaleej Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Al-Nahda is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Al-Khaleej is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Nahda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Al-Khaleej will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Al-Nahda won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Nahda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nahda Club Saudi Arabia
Saudi Division 1
24.01.22	Jeddah - Al-Nahda	2:0 ✺
17.01.22	Al-Nahda - Al-Qadisiya	1:1 ✺
10.01.22	Al-Nahda - Al-Jeel	0:1 ✺
04.01.22	Al-Kholood - Al-Nahda	2:0 ✺
28.12.21	Al-Nahda - Ohud Medina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLW
- Al-Khaleej Club of Saihat
Saudi Division 1
24.01.22	Al-Khaleej - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
18.01.22	Al-Jeel - Al-Khaleej	1:5 ✺
12.01.22	Al-Khaleej - Najran	2:1 ✺
05.01.22	Al-Sahel Qatif - Al-Khaleej	5:0 ✺
27.12.21	Al-Khaleej - Al-Adalh	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
20.09.21	Al-Khaleej - Al-Nahda	5:2
13.01.21	Al-Khaleej - Al-Nahda	1:0
07.01.20	Al-Khaleej - Al-Nahda	0:0
06.03.19	Al-Nahda - Al-Khaleej	1:4
16.10.18	Al-Khaleej - Al-Nahda	0:0
20.03.18	Al-Nahda - Al-Khaleej	0:1
21.11.17	Al-Khaleej - Al-Nahda	3:3

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