Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Al-Najma		Ali CSC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.00	3.00
	2.25	3	2.9	Watch
	2.46	3.11	2.98
	2.19	3.17	3.17	Watch
	2.4	3	2.85
	2.34	3.23	3.02	Watch
	2.3	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.25)	3.09 ↓ (3.18)	2.99 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Najma
39.8%

Draw
29.6%

Ali CSC
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.9%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ali CSC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ali CSC than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Al Najma - Ali CSC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Diego Cardoso ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 0 - 2, Diego Cardoso ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th and 10th in the Premier League (Relegation)).

Al-Najma has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ali has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Al-Najma is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Al-Najma has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:10 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Najma against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.5:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Aali Club	6	2	1	3	6:9	-3	7
9	Al Najma	6	2	1	3	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Najma Manama
Bahraini Premier League
17.10.26	Al-Najma - Al-Hidd	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Sitra - Al-Najma	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Al-Najma - East Riffa Club	2:3 ✺
02.09.26	Malkiya - Al-Najma	0:1 ✺
27.08.26	Al-Najma - Al Khalidiah	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLWL
- Ali CSC
Bahraini Premier League
16.10.26	Ali CSC - Sitra	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	East Riffa Club - Ali CSC	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Ali CSC - Malkiya	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Al Khalidiah - Ali CSC	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ali CSC - Manama Club	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bahraini Kings Cup
05.02.26	Ali CSC - Al-Najma	2:0
Bahraini Premier League
28.01.26	Ali CSC - Al-Najma	2:0
19.09.25	Al-Najma - Ali CSC	0:3
12.05.25	Al-Najma - Ali CSC	1:2
11.01.25	Ali CSC - Al-Najma	1:3

Al-Najma - Ali CSC