Match Info

EGYPT: DIVISION 2 A - ROUND 10

Date: 27 November 2023, Monday


	Al Nasr Lel Taaden		Petrojet

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.4	1.61
	4.8	3.62	1.65
	4.71	3.62	1.66
	5	3.5	1.55
	5.65	3.74	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (4.2)	3.58 ↑ (3.21)	1.6 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Nasr Lel Taaden
18.1%

Draw
25.3%

Petrojet
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

28.1%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

27.6%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Nasr Lel Taaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Petrojet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petrojet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Nasr Lel Taaden than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrojet than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petrojet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Al Nasr Lel Taaden - Petrojet Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Al Nasr Lel Taaden will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Petrojet will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Petrojet: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Division 2 A (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 A (Promotion Group: )).

Al Nasr Lel Taaden is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Petrojet is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Petrojet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Petrojet will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al Nasr Lel Taaden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Nasr Lel Taaden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Nasr Lel Taaden SC
Egyptian Division 2 A
20.11.23	Proxy - Al Nasr Lel Taaden	2:1 ✺
13.11.23	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Al Nasr Lel Taaden	5:0 ✺
06.11.23	Al Nasr Lel Taaden - El Sekka El Hadid	2:3 ✺
31.10.23	Wadi Degla - Al Nasr Lel Taaden	3:0 ✺
23.10.23	Al Nasr Lel Taaden - Tanta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- Petrojet FC
Egyptian Division 2 A
19.11.23	Petrojet - El Sekka El Hadid	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Wadi Degla - Petrojet	1:1 ✺
07.11.23	Petrojet - Tanta	2:1 ✺
31.10.23	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Petrojet	1:0 ✺
23.10.23	Petrojet - Misr El-Makasa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
27.04.17	Petrojet - Al Nasr Lel Taaden	0:1
16.11.16	Al Nasr Lel Taaden - Petrojet	1:2

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