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Current Win Probability
Al-Nasr Salalah 49.2%
Draw 25.2%
Samail 25.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.6%
21.8%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
20.9%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Nasr Salalah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Nasr Salalah's form might have worsened.
Samail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samail's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr Salalah than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Nasr Salalah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samail than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samail, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Nasr Salalah - Samail Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, ⚽,
42', (Penalty Awarded),
42', 2 - 1, ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 3 - 2, ⚽,
61', 3 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Al-Nasr is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Samail has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Al-Nasr for this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Al-Nasr has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 0.7:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Nasr against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.