Match Info

Stars League - Round 13

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Qasim		Newroz

	1	X	2
	5.35	3.4	1.58
	5.89	3.77	1.52
	5.5	3.25	1.57
	6.26	3.58	1.51
	5.5	3.5	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.7 ↓ (5.91)	3.5 ↓ (3.63)	1.55 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qasim
15.8%

Draw
25.8%

Newroz
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

25.4%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

24.6%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qasim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Newroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Al Qasim - Newroz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
68', 0 - 1, Ridha Jalil M. ⚽, Rwa (A),
71', 0 - 2, Hussein M. ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, Hussein M. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Al-Qasim is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Newroz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Qasim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Al-Qasim has had a series of away games.

In this match, Newroz is a strong favorite.

We predict that Newroz will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Qasim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Qasim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Newroz	8	4	3	1	13:4	9	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qasim SC
Iraqi Premier League
13.01.26	Al-Karma - Al-Qasim	1:0 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:7 ✺
30.12.25	Diyala - Al-Qasim	3:0 ✺
23.12.25	Al-Kahraba - Al-Qasim	awarded ✺
23.11.25	Zakho - Al-Qasim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLL?L
- Newroz Sulaymaniyah
Iraqi Premier League
14.01.26	Newroz - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Gharraf - Newroz	0:1 ✺
05.01.26	Newroz - Al-Naft	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Minaa - Newroz	1:1 ✺
22.12.25	Newroz - Amanat Baghdad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
28.03.25	Al-Qasim - Newroz	1:0
29.01.25	Newroz - Al-Qasim	1:1
20.02.24	Al-Qasim - Newroz	0:1
29.11.22	Newroz - Al-Qasim	0:3

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