Match Info

Date: 14 April 2022, Thursday


	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya		Al-Shabab Riyadh

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.6	1.6	Watch
	5.8	3.35	1.58
	4.9	3.65	1.63
	5.83	3.25	1.76
	7	3.8	1.44
	5.35	3.82	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.77 ↓ (6.15)	3.58 ↓ (3.74)	1.61 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
16.1%

Draw
26%

Al-Shabab Riyadh
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

24.5%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

27.2%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Shabab Riyadh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya - Al Shabab Riyadh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Al-Shabab is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Al-Shabab is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
AFC Champions League
11.04.22	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Mumbai City	1:2 ✺
08.04.22	Al-Jazira - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
09.03.22	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Minaa	2:1 ✺
02.03.22	Al-Karkh - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:1 ✺
25.02.22	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Newroz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWTW
- Al-Shabab Riyadh
AFC Champions League
11.04.22	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Jazira	3:0 ✺
08.04.22	Mumbai City - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:3 ✺
Saudi King Cup
03.04.22	Al-Hilal - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:1 ET ✺
Saudi Professional League
18.03.22	Al-Taee - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:2 ✺
13.03.22	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLTL

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